Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) lost to Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) by 42 runs in Lucknow. RCB dropped from 2nd to 3rd after the loss. Their net run rate dropped from +0.482 to +0.255.
RCB are in danger of finishing outside the top two positions and lose the opportunity to play in Qualifier 1. Here is the detailed analysis.
Remaining matches involving teams in playoffs
Punjab Kings vs. Delhi Capitals, May 24
Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kings, May 25
Punjab Kings vs. Mumbai Indians, May 26
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bengaluru, May 27
RCB – finishing outside the top two
Royal Challengers Bengaluru have taken 17 points from 13 matches. Gujarat Titans have taken 18 points from 13 matches and Punjab Kings have taken 17 points from 12 matches.
RCB will finish outside the top two if they lose to LSG.
RCB’s result against LSG on May 27 will be immaterial if GT win their final match and PBKS win their remaining two matches.
RCB beat LSG – reach 19 points
GT beat CSK – reach 20 points
PBKS beat DC and MI – reach 21 points
RCB – finishing in the top two
RCB must beat LSG and reach 19 points
One of the below two things need to happen for RCB
- GT to lose to CSK on Sunday – get stuck on 18 points
It will be enough for RCB to finish in the top two. MI can reach a maximum of 18 points and only PBKS can finish above RCB in this case.
RCB – 19, GT – 18, MI – 18, PBKS – immaterial for RCB
2. If GT beat CSK on Sunday – they will end with 20 points
GT – 20, RCB – 19 (after beating LSG)
PBKS must lose at least one match and finish on 19 points with an inferior net run rate to RCB. PBKS losing both matches is the ideal scenario for RCB.
GT – 20, RCB – 19, PBKS – 19 with an inferior net run rate or 17
Net run rates, RCB: +0.255, PBKS: +0.389
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